透水铺装的英文装翻译装英语怎么说-摩擦力的方向
2023年4月19日发(作者:英菲克官方网站)
Rapid economic growth in China, India, Indonesia,
Brazil and other emerging countries will drive global
energy consumption to nearly double by 2040,
according to new projections released yesterday by the
Department of Energy.
But the associated rise in carbon emissions will not
keep pace with overall energy consumption, thanks to a
shifting global energy portfolio that relies less on coal
for power generation and more on natural gas and
renewable energy resources, the U.S. Energy
Information Administration said in its 2016
International Energy Outlook.
Based on its latest projections, EIA said global carbon
dioxide emissions from energy activities will rise from
36 billion metric tons in 2012, the baseline year used
for the 2016 outlook, to 43 billion metric tons in 2040.
That\'s a 34 percent increase in energy-related CO,
2
compared to a 48 percent increase in overall energy
consumption from 2010 to 2040, when EIA says the
world will consume a record 815 quadrillion British
thermal units (Btu) of energy.
But some critics of EIA\'s methodology say the
projections on global energy use and COemissions
2
failed to adequately account for major international
policy initiatives, including last year\'s pledge by nearly
190 U.N.-member countries to make sharp reductions
in energy-sector greenhouse gas emissions.
In a public rollout of the data at the Center for Strategic
and International Studies, EIA Administrator Adam
Sieminski said that the agency used more sophisticated
modeling tools for the 2016 report than previously
available, especially in the transportation sector, and
that the world\'s demand for fossil fuels will continue to
grow.
\"Even in the aftermath of Paris, I think that our
numbers suggest that growth and need for petroleum in
transportation and industry is still going to be pretty
strong,\" he said. \"Those numbers could come down
over time, but it\'s still really hard to compete with the
energy density that\'s in oil.\"
根据能源部昨日发布的最新预测,由
于中国、印度、印度尼西亚、巴西等
发展中国家经济迅速发展,到2040
年全球能源消耗将增长近乎一倍。
美国能源信息署在其《2016年国际能
源展望》中指出,即使全球能耗会增
也多不会带来更多的碳排放。因为全
球能源结构调整后,人们开始减少使
用煤发电,更多地利用天然气和可再
生能源发电。
鉴于其最新预测,美国能源信息署认
为,全球能源消耗所产生的二氧化碳
排放量会从2012年(“2016年展望”
以2012年为基准年)女孩取名子衿的寓意 的3,600,000公
吨增长到2040年的4,300,000公吨。
2010年至2040年,相比于全球能源
消耗将增长48%,全球能耗所产生的
二氧化碳排放量会增长34%,美国能
源署认为到2040年,全球能源消耗将
创造一个新记录,达到815千兆英热
单位。
但是有人质疑美国能源信息署的调查
方法,认为美国能信息署对能源消耗
和二氧化碳排量的预测没有充分考虑
重大的国际政策举措,包括去年,联
合国近190个成员国誓要大力减排能
源消耗带来的温室气体。
美国国际战略研究中心公开数据时,
美国能源信息署署长亚当西耶米斯
基说:“对于2016年报告,能源信息
署使用了比以往更复杂的数据建模工
具,尤其是在交通运输行业。研究数
据还表明世界对化石燃料的需求还会
继续增长。”
他还说:“即使签署了《巴黎协议》,
但是我认为,根据研究数据,交通运
输和工业的发展将会增加对石油的需
求。随着时间的推移,对石油的需求
量可能会减少,但是要同石油中的能
量密度竞争,真的还是很难。”
Among other things, the new report portends continued
此外,新报告还预测随着风能产品、
rising demand for natural gas, along with sustained
太阳能产品和核能产品也会不断发
growth in wind, solar and nuclear energy production.
Renewables, led by wind and hydro power, are
projected to be the fastest-growing energy resource
over the next two decades, according to EIA, expanding
by 2.6 percent annually through 2040.
Nuclear will also see solid growth, at 2.3 percent
annually, underscored by China\'s commitment to add
139 gigawatts of nuclear capacity to its grid by 2040.
Natural gas, long the No. 3 source of global energy
behind oil and coal, will by 2030 become the world\'s
No. 2 resource as coal consumption plateaus with the
onset of new international carbon regulati在线书籍免费阅读大全 ons.
Consumption of oil and other forms of liquid petroleum
will fall modestly over the next 24 years, from 33
percent of total marketed energy consumption in 2012
to 30 percent in 2040. Oil will continue to be a primary
fuel for the transport sector, as well as a key fuel for
industrial uses in emerging countries.
But experts cautioned against the idea that fossil fuels
will become 20th-century energy anachronisms by the
middle of the 21st century. In fact, fossil fuels will still
account for 78 percent of global energy use in 2040,
even as the growth in non-fossil fuels exceeds that of
oil, coal and gas.
\"Abundant natural gas resources and robust
production—including rising supplies of tight gas,
shale gas, and coalbed methane—contribute to the
strong competitive position of natural gas,\" EIA said in
the outlook.
While considerably diminished from a decade ago,
coal-fired power generation is expected to grow by 0.6
percent annually over the coming years and will
account for between 28 and 29 percent of global power
generatio岁岁重阳全诗 n by 2040, compared to 40 percent in 2012.
Natural gas and renewables, including hydropower, are
also 锦门嫡女 expected to claim between 28 and 29 percent of
total global power generation by 2040, with the
remainder coming from existing and new nuclear
plants.
展,人们对天然气的需求会持续增长。
根据美国能源信息署的信息,到2040
年年底,以风能和氢能为主的可再生
能源每年将以2.6%的速度增长,预计
在未来二十年会成为发展最快的能
源。
核能也将以每年2.3%的速度稳定增
长,中国在其承诺中强调,到2040
年中国核能发电将增加1390亿瓦。到
2030年,由于全球开始实施新的碳排
放法规,煤炭消耗进入停滞时期,长
期作为第三大能源的天然气,将取代
煤炭成为继石油之后的第二大能源。
石油和其他液体石油产品的消耗在未
来24年有小幅度的减少。2010年石
油能耗占市场总能耗的33%,2040年
将下降至30%。石油仍将是交通运输
领域的主要能源,同时也是发展中国
家工业发展的重要能源。
但是专家提醒道:“到21世纪中期,
化石能源将成为20世纪的过时能
源。”事实上,到2040年,即使非化
石燃料的发展胜过石油、煤和天然气,
但化石能源的消耗量仍将占全球能源
耗的78%。
美国能源信息署在其“展望”中说:
“天然气资源丰富且产量大(包括致
密气、岩页气和煤层气等天然气的产
量正不断提高),因而具有较强的竞争
力。”
比起2012年燃煤发电量占全球发电
量的40%,尽管从十年前开始燃煤发
电已显著减少,但在未来几年,燃煤
发电可能还在以每年0.6%的速度增
长,到2040年,燃煤发电量将占全球
发电量的28%~29%。
到2040年,天然气和包括水力在内的
可再生能源发电量将有望达到全球发
电总量的28%~29%,剩余的
71%~72%的发电量将由现有核电站
和新兴核电站提供。
\"This is going to happen in many places around the
总部位于罗德岛大道的美国国际战略
world, and it will reduce carbon dioxide emissions by a
研究中心是由花岗岩和玻璃建筑的,
significant amount,\" Sieminski told energy policy
西耶米斯基告诉聚集在这里的能源政
experts and journalists gathered at CSIS\'s
策专家和新闻工作者:“全球许多地区
granite-and-glass headquarters on Rhode Island
都会发生这一变化,这也会极大减少
Avenue.
二氧化碳的排放。”
In one of the first high-level analyses of how U.S.
carbon regulation will affect global energy markets,
EIA projects that U.S. EPA\'s Clean Power Plan would
further shave coal consumption by roughly 1 percent
after 2020 while driving a comparable increase in
renewable energy deployment.
\"It changes the global numbers a little bit, it changes
the U.S. numbers more, and it particularly changes coal
in the U.S. by more,\" Sieminski said. \"You can see coal
plateauing.\"
Among the world\'s three largest coal users—the United
States, China and India—only India is projected to see
an overall increase in coal consumption by 2040. China
is expected to begin reducing its use of coal after 2025,
while the United States is already seeing a downward
trajectory in coal 黄鹤一去不复返 use, one that could grow steeper if the
Clean Power Plan is upheld in court.
While U.S. markets and policy will continue to be
critical benchmarks for global energy, the United States
will not be among the fastest-growing energy markets
going forward, EIA found.
In fact, by 2040, nearly two-thirds of all of the world\'s
energy use will be in developing countries outside the
34-member Organisation for Economic Co-operation
and Development. Among non-OECD members, Asian
countries like China, India and Indonesia will account
for 55 percent of all new energy use through 2040, the
analysis found.
Increasing oil and liquid fuels consumption for industry
and transportation will be particularly strong in
countries like China and India, Sieminski said, where
rising incomes and a proliferation of privately owned
cars and trucks has led to significant increases in
vehicles miles traveled (VMT).
But critics like David Turnbull of the climate-focused
nonprofit group Oil Change International said EIA
shou摇摇欲坠的欲是什么意思 ld have given stronger consideration to shifting
national and international climate policies, especially
over the last several years.
一项美国碳排放管理条例影响全球能
源市场的初步高级分析中,美国能源
信息署预测,美国环境保护署的《清
洁能源计划》在2020年以后将进一步
减少大约1%的煤炭消耗,相对来说,
这也会促进可再生资源的发展。
西耶米斯基说:“这一计划在全球范围
的改变只有一点点,但是对美国,影
响巨大。尤其是它更多地改变了美国
的煤炭消耗。你可能会见证美国煤炭
消耗的进入停滞期。”
全球煤炭三大消费国:美国、中国和
印度,其中只有印度在2040年的煤炭
消耗量总体可能会增加。中国在2025
年以后有望开始减少煤炭消耗,而美
国已经开始减少煤炭使用,一旦《清
洁能源计划》在法庭上通过,美国就
有望进一步减少煤炭消耗。
美国能源信息署发现,尽管美国市场
和政策将继续成为全球能源的标杆,
但是美国将不会向发展最快的能源市
场进军。
事实上,到2040年,全球三分之二的
能源将被发展中国家消耗,这些发展
中国家不在经济合作和发展组织的
32个成员国之列。该分析发现,非经
济合作和发展组织成员的亚洲国家,
如中国、印度和印度尼西亚等国家到
2040年年底将消耗全球55%的新能
源。
西耶米斯基说: “像中国和印度这样的
国家,用于工业和交通运输的石油和
液态燃料会显著增多,随着这些国家
人民收入的提高,私家车和卡车的增
多,车辆里程也随之显著增加。”
但是,国际石油变革组织(一个关注
气候变化的非赢利性组织)的大卫特
恩布尔等人批评美国能源信息署,特
别是在过去几年里,没有着重考虑调
整国家和国际气候政策。
\"We all know that we\'re moving in a different direction
now,\" Turnbull said. \"The Paris Agreement was a clear
indication that the fossil fuel era was ending. To make a
projection that ignores some of these major shifts in
public opinion, in energy markets, in renewable energy
policy, is leaving out a big piece of the picture.\"
特恩布尔说:“我们都知道我们现在正
在走向另一个方向。《巴黎协议》清楚
地表明化石燃料时代已经终结。做出
的预测如果忽视民意、能源市场和可
再生资源政策等一些重大转变,就是
遗漏整个大局中的重要部分。”
A spokesman for EIA stressed in an email that the
一位美国能源信息署的发言人在邮件
agency did not ignore the Paris accord or other
中强调,能源署在其分析中有考虑《巴
international agreements in its analysis.
黎协议》和其他国际协议。
In fact, 描写思乡的诗 the report makes clear that EIA \"has tried to
incorporate some of the specific details,\" such as
renewable energy goals put forward in the U.N.
Framework Convention on Climate Change, in its 2016
IEO reference case. \"However, a great deal of
un渗的组词是 certainty remains with regard to the implementation
of policies to meet stated goals.\"
In his comments at CSIS, Sieminski acknowledged that
long-term projections like those in the IEO are
imperfect and that policy and technology changes can
lead to radically different outcomes than the best
analysis can predict.
\"There\'s probabl李白诗句摘抄大全 y a lot of flex in these numbers,\"
Sieminski said. \"Does that mean that we are wasting
taxpayer dollars doing it? The answer is no. It\'s hugely
valuable to policymakers, it\'s hugely valuable to the
public.\"
事实上,该项报告指明美国能源信息
署“已试图考虑一些特定的细节”,例
如,在其2016年的国际环境组织参考
案例中,能源信息署参考了《联合国
气候变化框架公约》提出的可再生资
源目标。但是,与政策实施相关的大
量不确定因素使既定目标仍无法实
现。
西耶米斯基在美国国际战略研究中心
的评论中承认国际环境组织等做出的
那些长期预测不完善,但是,由于政
策和技术变革可能导致结果发生相当
大的变化,这即使是根据最全面的分
析也无法预测的。
西耶米斯基说:“可能这些数字有许多
值得商榷之处,但是这难道就意味着
我们是在浪费纳税人的钱吗?答案是
‘没有’。对政策制定者和公众来说这
些数字具有巨大的价值。”
点评:文章主要讲了美国能源信息署预测了到2040年各种能源消耗问题,相关人员针对能
耗问题发表了不同的看法。译者在翻译时,基本做到了忠实原文,保持了原文的风格,该译
文语句通顺,整体来讲,是一篇不错的译文。文章多长句,译者在处理个别地方时理解有偏
差,仍需加强。
评价:整体翻译不错,唯一出错的一句话需要综合下文看下逻辑关系,就可以确定了。
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